Stocks close higher Friday as soft jobs cool hike bets
U.S. equities finished Friday higher after September payrolls rose only 29,000, well below the 90,000 forecast. Softer hiring cut odds of a late-October Fed rate hike. Households watching 401(k) balances saw the S&P 500 gain about 0.7% on the day even as the index still fell for the week.
U.S. stocks advanced Friday to close the trading week after the Labor Department said nonfarm payrolls rose 29,000 in September — far short of the 90,000 gain economists had expected. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 250.40 points, or 0.49%, to 51,176.96. The S&P 500 gained 56.27 points, or 0.73%, to 7,722.72. The Nasdaq Composite added 319.27 points, or 1.19%, to 27,190.86, according to the Reuters market wrap carried on StreetInsider.
Softer hiring pulled down near-term rate-hike odds. CME FedWatch put the chance of at least a 25-basis-point hike at the Fed's late-October meeting near 23%, down from about 64% a week earlier. Rate-sensitive groups participated: the Russell 2000 rose about 0.9%, and mega-caps such as Nvidia and Tesla helped lead the S&P.
The day bounce did not erase a weak week for the blue chips. For the full week the S&P 500 still shed 0.27% and the Dow fell 1.26%, while the Nasdaq eked out a 0.45% weekly gain — its fifth rise in six weeks. Nike slid after a weak China-heavy outlook, and storage names Western Digital and Seagate fell about 10% on a Toshiba capacity report.
Backstory: investors spent September and early October juggling sticky energy prices from the Iran war with a labor market that no longer looks overheated. Two Fed officials earlier in the week had already urged more data before another hike, so Friday's print reinforced a wait-and-see path into the next meeting.
Where to watch: Monday's futures open and any weekend war or oil headlines that could reopen inflation fears.
What we know:
Friday's cash closes and the +29,000 payroll print are on the BLS and exchange record. Soft jobs cooled October hike odds in FedWatch.
What we don't:
Whether the equity bounce sticks when Monday trading resumes, or whether sticky prices and war risk force a December hike back into focus.
Where outlets agree StreetInsider/Reuters and MarketScreener agree major U.S. indexes closed higher Friday after the soft payrolls print.
Where they differ Bulls treat soft jobs as cover for stocks; cautious desks warn the weekly Dow and S&P losses show the rally remains fragile.